Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000767 0.000816 0.000867 0.000922 0.000982 0.001044 0.001113
2025-10-12 0.000688 0.000757 0.000830 0.000914 0.001008 0.001110 0.001228
2025-10-19 0.000633 0.000715 0.000805 0.000912 0.001035 0.001173 0.001340
2025-10-26 0.000592 0.000685 0.000789 0.000915 0.001065 0.001238 0.001454
2025-11-02 0.000551 0.000649 0.000763 0.000904 0.001075 0.001277 0.001537
2025-11-09 0.000510 0.000612 0.000731 0.000882 0.001070 0.001297 0.001594
2025-11-16 0.000482 0.000586 0.000711 0.000873 0.001078 0.001331 0.001669
2025-11-23 0.000461 0.000570 0.000701 0.000874 0.001098 0.001379 0.001763
2025-11-30 0.000441 0.000552 0.000689 0.000871 0.001111 0.001418 0.001846
2025-12-07 0.000424 0.000537 0.000678 0.000870 0.001125 0.001459 0.001932
2025-12-14 0.000404 0.000517 0.000661 0.000859 0.001127 0.001481 0.001993
2025-12-21 0.000386 0.000500 0.000646 0.000849 0.001129 0.001504 0.002055
2025-12-28 0.000363 0.000475 0.000620 0.000826 0.001112 0.001504 0.002088
2026-01-04 0.000347 0.000459 0.000607 0.000819 0.001119 0.001535 0.002167
2026-01-11 0.000334 0.000447 0.000598 0.000817 0.001132 0.001575 0.002262
2026-01-18 0.000324 0.000439 0.000593 0.000820 0.001151 0.001626 0.002374
2026-01-25 0.000310 0.000424 0.000579 0.000810 0.001151 0.001647 0.002442
2026-02-01 0.000295 0.000406 0.000560 0.000791 0.001137 0.001647 0.002477
2026-02-08 0.000283 0.000394 0.000548 0.000783 0.001139 0.001670 0.002549
2026-02-15 0.000276 0.000387 0.000543 0.000784 0.001154 0.001715 0.002656
2026-02-22 0.000267 0.000378 0.000536 0.000781 0.001163 0.001749 0.002749
2026-03-01 0.000260 0.000370 0.000529 0.000780 0.001174 0.001787 0.002848
2026-03-08 0.000250 0.000360 0.000518 0.000770 0.001171 0.001803 0.002911